Great start to the week with the win last night. Thank you Derek Jeter!

Today most teams are back in action after a travel day. My pick for the today is:

Reds -111
P- Johnny Cueto #47 SP

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2009 STATS
ERA	W-L	SO	WHIP
2.43	5-3	53	1.04

This is a steal of a line in my opinion. Not to often will you get Cueto under -140 let alone at -120. Dating back to May 1st, Zimmerman has allowed 5 or more runs in 5 of his 7 starts. One of those was a 2 ER game against a terrible hitting Giants teams. His only 2 wins on the season were in his 1st two starts. Since then the youngster has been welcomed to the league in a big way. Cueto has had some bad luck in 2 out of his last 3 starts, the other start he got some help and got the W. Over has last 20 innings he has allowed 6 ER. No reason to think they Reds can't tack on a few run for him tonight. I expect a low scoring game possibly even a shut out for the Reds. There is a reason he is in the Top 5 in the NL is ERA, he should have no trouble shutting down the Nats.

Here are some other stats to look at:

• Reds are 26-9 in their last 35 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Reds are 6-0 in Cuetos last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Reds are 5-1 in Cuetos last 6 road starts.
• Reds are 4-1 in Cuetos last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Reds are 4-1 in Cuetos last 5 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• Reds are 4-1 in Cuetos last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Reds are 4-1 in Cuetos last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.

• Nationals are 1-4 in Zimmermanns last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Nationals are 1-4 in Zimmermanns last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
• Nationals are 0-4 in Zimmermanns last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Nationals are 0-5 in Zimmermanns last 5 starts.
• Nationals are 0-5 in Zimmermanns last 5 starts on grass.
• Nationals are 0-4 in Zimmermanns last 4 home starts.
• Nationals are 0-5 in Zimmermanns last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
• Nationals are 0-4 in Zimmermanns last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous